Mikael Backlund vs Phillip Danault
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.7% vs Danault 54.8% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 50.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 80.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 63.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Backlund
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Backlund
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Backlund
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Backlund
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (891)
56.5% (711)
-6.4%
Power Play
53.1% (64)
46.0% (50)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (278)
51.7% (116)
-3.9%
On power play, Backlund has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Backlund shoots left. Danault is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Backlund
Danault
Home
48.1% (580)
57.0% (379)
Away
51.1% (653)
54.0% (498)
By Period
Backlund
Danault
P1
45.1%
55.8%
P2
54.7%
55.3%
P3
49.0%
54.8%
OT
46.2%
55.6%
Final 5 min
47.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 15:58 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 01:10 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 07:21 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |