Mikael Backlund vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.7% vs 49.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.7% vs Dubois 49.4% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 66.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 82.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 55.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Backlund
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Backlund
Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Dubois
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Dubois
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (891)
46.2% (225)
+3.9%
Power Play
53.1% (64)
66.7% (27)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (278)
75.0% (8)
-27.2%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Backlund shoots left. Dubois is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Backlund
Dubois
Home
48.1% (580)
46.6% (163)
Away
51.1% (653)
53.6% (97)
By Period
Backlund
Dubois
P1
45.1%
45.0%
P2
54.7%
52.3%
P3
49.0%
50.5%
OT
46.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 04:03 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 17:39 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 17:43 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |