Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Backlund wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — O'Marra shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.3% vs O'Marra 45.0% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 58.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 67.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 62.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Backlund
O'Marra
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Backlund
O'Marra
Last 10: Backlund 6-4 O'Marra
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Marra
1
2
Backlund
O'Marra
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
O'Marra
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
6
3
Backlund
O'Marra
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
O'Marra
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (568)
43.7% (158)
+5.2%
Power Play
52.3% (44)
20.0% (5)
+32.3%
Penalty Kill
32.7% (49)
36.4% (11)
-3.7%
On power play, Backlund has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Marra shoots right. Backlund is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (205).
Backlund shoots left. O'Marra is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Backlund
O'Marra
Home
50.8% (327)
48.1% (108)
Away
45.4% (337)
32.9% (70)
By Period
Backlund
O'Marra
P1
53.0%
51.5%
P2
47.8%
38.7%
P3
43.8%
32.6%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
O'Marra
50.0%▲
47.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2011 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 2 | 03:53 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | Ryan O'Marra |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Ryan O'Marra |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 18:05 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Ryan O'Marra |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 08:43 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 03:05 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 16:29 | Neutral | Ryan O'Marra |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 12:23 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 09:36 | Neutral | Ryan O'Marra |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 09:21 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Marra |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |