Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.1%). Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Gomez 48.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gomez 60.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 84.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 60.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Backlund
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Backlund
Gomez
Last 9: Backlund 6-3 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
1
Backlund
Gomez
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Backlund
Gomez
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,410)
47.9% (2,814)
+1.8%
Power Play
51.6% (1,336)
50.6% (516)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (2,446)
36.5% (74)
+7.5%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Backlund shoots left. Gomez is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,196).
Home / Away
Backlund
Gomez
Home
49.7% (8,565)
49.8% (1,767)
Away
48.3% (8,632)
46.3% (1,667)
By Period
Backlund
Gomez
P1
48.5%
48.6%
P2
50.3%
48.2%
P3
48.4%
47.5%
OT
44.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2015 | 3 | 13:39 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 2 | 19:46 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 2 | 12:35 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 1 | 05:25 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 2 | 12:04 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Scott Gomez |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 2 | 03:31 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |