Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Gomez 47.0% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gomez 59.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 80.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 58.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Backlund
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Backlund
Gomez
Last 5: Backlund 4-1 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Gomez
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
1
Backlund
Gomez
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (711)
46.4% (676)
+3.7%
Power Play
43.2% (81)
48.6% (105)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (83)
28.6% (7)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. Backlund is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Backlund shoots left. Gomez is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Backlund
Gomez
Home
51.0% (396)
46.5% (417)
Away
46.1% (479)
46.6% (371)
By Period
Backlund
Gomez
P1
43.9%
46.7%
P2
51.5%
45.1%
P3
51.0%
48.1%
OT
12.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.3%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2015 | 3 | 13:39 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 2 | 19:46 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 2 | 12:35 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 1 | 05:25 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |