Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 47.2%). Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.2% vs Doan 48.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Doan 63.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 87.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 61.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Backlund
Doan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Backlund
Doan
Last 9: Backlund 7-2 Doan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Doan
0
2
Backlund
Doan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
7
0
Backlund
Doan
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Doan
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (1,070)
47.7% (149)
-0.4%
Power Play
62.1% (140)
46.9% (49)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (269)
0.0% (1)
+43.9%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +43.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Doan shoots right. Backlund is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (569).
Backlund shoots left. Doan is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Backlund
Doan
Home
49.1% (768)
50.0% (118)
Away
47.0% (711)
43.2% (81)
By Period
Backlund
Doan
P1
46.8%
41.9%
P2
47.5%
50.0%
P3
49.3%
49.3%
OT
59.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Doan
44.0%▼
47.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2016 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 2 | 18:50 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 1 | 19:17 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 1 | 11:04 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 1 | 03:16 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 3 | 13:38 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 1 | 00:07 | Offensive | Shane Doan |