Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Backlund wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 47.4% vs Horcoff 51.0% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 66.3%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 67.8%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 66.7%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Backlund
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Backlund
Horcoff
Last 6: Backlund 4-2 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Horcoff
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
1
Backlund
Horcoff
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (912)
51.2% (537)
-2.5%
Power Play
46.3% (82)
66.7% (15)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (149)
47.3% (74)
-9.0%
On power play, Horcoff has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Backlund is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Backlund shoots left. Horcoff is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Backlund
Horcoff
Home
48.2% (596)
52.5% (343)
Away
46.1% (547)
49.5% (283)
By Period
Backlund
Horcoff
P1
49.3%
48.2%
P2
44.7%
52.2%
P3
47.0%
52.7%
OT
72.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.2%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2016 | 3 | 13:59 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 2 | 00:21 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 1 | 02:53 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 24, 2015 | 1 | 03:29 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |