Scouting Report
Travis Morin holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Backlund wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Morin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 47.7% vs Morin 50.0% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Morin 63.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 54.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Backlund
Morin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Backlund
Morin
Last 8: Backlund 5-3 Morin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Morin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Morin
0
3
Backlund
Morin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
0
Backlund
Morin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Morin
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (1,002)
50.0% (38)
-2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Morin shoots left. Backlund is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Backlund shoots left. Morin is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Backlund
Morin
Home
48.3% (633)
40.0% (15)
Away
46.7% (689)
56.5% (23)
By Period
Backlund
Morin
P1
49.2%
50.0%
P2
48.9%
41.7%
P3
45.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.5%
Morin
46.0%▼
49.1%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2014 | 3 | 16:18 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 3 | 05:18 | Defensive | Travis Morin |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 3 | 02:44 | Defensive | Travis Morin |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 2 | 15:01 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 2 | 11:56 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 08:20 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 01:35 | Defensive | Travis Morin |