Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ennis on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Backlund wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Ennis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 47.7% vs Ennis 40.3% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ennis 60.2%
Defensive zone
Ennis 57.2%
Neutral zone
Ennis 60.0%
Result
Tyler Ennis favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Backlund
Ennis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Backlund
Ennis
Last 9: Backlund 3-6 Ennis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ennis
0
2
Backlund
Ennis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
1
Backlund
Ennis
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ennis
1
3
Backlund
Ennis
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Ennis
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (1,002)
38.3% (553)
+8.9%
Power Play
46.7% (150)
40.9% (66)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (170)
50.0% (6)
+0.0%
On even strength, Backlund has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ennis shoots left. Backlund is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Backlund shoots left. Ennis is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Backlund
Ennis
Home
48.3% (633)
39.5% (306)
Away
46.7% (689)
37.9% (319)
By Period
Backlund
Ennis
P1
49.2%
35.9%
P2
48.9%
43.6%
P3
45.4%
37.4%
OT
33.3%
31.6%
Final 5 min
45.9%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.5%
Ennis
60.0%▲
43.5%
38.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 10:29 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 14, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 04:27 | Offensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 02:12 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |