Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 47.7% vs Kennedy 45.3% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 54.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 58.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Backlund
Kennedy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Backlund
Kennedy
Last 6: Backlund 3-3 Kennedy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kennedy
0
1
Backlund
Kennedy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
2
Backlund
Kennedy
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Kennedy
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (1,002)
41.7% (115)
+5.5%
Power Play
46.7% (150)
41.2% (17)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (170)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
On even strength, Backlund has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kennedy shoots right. Backlund is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (558).
Backlund shoots left. Kennedy is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Home / Away
Backlund
Kennedy
Home
48.3% (633)
38.3% (60)
Away
46.7% (689)
44.7% (76)
By Period
Backlund
Kennedy
P1
49.2%
40.0%
P2
48.9%
37.5%
P3
45.4%
48.8%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
30.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.5%
Kennedy
38.0%▼
41.0%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 04:27 | Offensive | Tyler Kennedy |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 12:00 | Defensive | Tyler Kennedy |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 13:56 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | Tyler Kennedy |