Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 52.1% vs Granlund 47.0% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 89.8%
Defensive zone
Granlund 90.2%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 63.9%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Tkachuk
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Tkachuk
Granlund
Last 5: Tkachuk 3-2 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
2
Tkachuk
Granlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
0
Tkachuk
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (192)
46.7% (885)
+1.2%
Power Play
57.8% (187)
44.9% (69)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
49.0% (98)
-49.0%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +49.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Tkachuk is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Tkachuk shoots left. Granlund is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Granlund
Home
56.0% (175)
51.1% (495)
Away
49.8% (205)
42.9% (557)
By Period
Tkachuk
Granlund
P1
55.0%
49.9%
P2
51.9%
46.4%
P3
47.3%
44.3%
OT
77.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
52.6%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 14:36 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:46 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:58 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |