Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs Granlund 47.4% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 71.2%
Defensive zone
Grant 63.0%
Neutral zone
Grant 53.0%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Grant
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Grant
Granlund
Last 5: Grant 3-2 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Grant
Granlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
0
Grant
Granlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Grant
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
47.7% (1,001)
+1.4%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
53.4% (73)
+23.1%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (181)
40.2% (132)
+5.1%
On power play, Grant has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Grant is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Grant shoots left. Granlund is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (738).
Home / Away
Grant
Granlund
Home
49.8% (223)
45.9% (582)
Away
47.2% (197)
48.4% (624)
By Period
Grant
Granlund
P1
43.9%
48.6%
P2
49.7%
46.7%
P3
51.4%
46.9%
OT
50.0%
31.3%
Final 5 min
51.2%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2022 | 3 | 00:39 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 2 | 06:21 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:46 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 1 | 00:52 | Offensive | Derek Grant |