Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Granlund 47.4% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 57.6%
Defensive zone
Ryan 90.9%
Neutral zone
Ryan 85.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 81.9%
81.9%
18.1%
Ryan
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Ryan
Granlund
Last 5: Ryan 4-1 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Granlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
47.7% (1,001)
+12.5%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
53.4% (73)
-24.8%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
40.2% (132)
+3.0%
On power play, Granlund has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Granlund is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Ryan
Granlund
Home
56.7% (254)
45.9% (582)
Away
55.0% (258)
48.4% (624)
By Period
Ryan
Granlund
P1
56.9%
48.6%
P2
51.7%
46.7%
P3
59.2%
46.9%
OT
0.0%
31.3%
Final 5 min
53.6%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 1 | 06:54 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |