Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Iginla on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Iginla wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iginla 46.9% vs Granlund 48.5% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Iginla 61.4%
Defensive zone
Granlund 79.5%
Neutral zone
Granlund 55.4%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Iginla
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Iginla
Granlund
Last 5: Iginla 3-2 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Iginla
3
0
Iginla
Granlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
2
Iginla
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iginla
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (102)
47.8% (866)
-2.7%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
49.4% (79)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
59.0% (39)
-59.0%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +59.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Iginla is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Iginla shoots right. Granlund is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
Iginla
Granlund
Home
41.3% (46)
52.5% (505)
Away
46.3% (82)
44.1% (479)
By Period
Iginla
Granlund
P1
41.2%
48.2%
P2
50.0%
51.1%
P3
44.9%
45.0%
OT
20.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.6%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2015 | 3 | 05:07 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 8, 2015 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 03:18 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 16:43 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |