Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McClement wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 54.6% vs Granlund 48.8% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 84.9%
Defensive zone
McClement 52.3%
Neutral zone
Granlund 63.0%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
McClement
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
McClement
Granlund
Last 6: McClement 2-4 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
3
McClement
Granlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
1
0
McClement
Granlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McClement
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (540)
47.8% (959)
+9.8%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
54.7% (95)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (131)
58.1% (31)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. McClement is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (445).
McClement shoots left. Granlund is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
McClement
Granlund
Home
56.0% (341)
50.5% (548)
Away
54.6% (337)
46.7% (537)
By Period
McClement
Granlund
P1
52.7%
51.1%
P2
55.7%
49.1%
P3
58.3%
46.6%
OT
0.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
58.8%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
55.3%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 15:50 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |