Justin Sourdif vs Mikael Granlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Sourdif wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sourdif 45.9% vs Granlund 48.4% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sourdif 59.6%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 71.0%
Neutral zone
Sourdif 58.2%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Sourdif
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Sourdif
Granlund
Last 7: Sourdif 2-5 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
3
Sourdif
Granlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
2
Sourdif
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sourdif
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (556)
48.7% (446)
-4.1%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
56.6% (99)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
61.5% (13)
31.1% (61)
+30.4%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +30.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Sourdif is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (418).
Sourdif shoots right. Granlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Sourdif
Granlund
Home
43.6% (321)
53.3% (255)
Away
47.1% (272)
44.4% (351)
By Period
Sourdif
Granlund
P1
43.1%
51.3%
P2
43.9%
48.8%
P3
48.6%
44.4%
OT
100.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
44.5%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sourdif
32.0%▼
40.5%
45.2%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 18:23 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 18:16 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 15:46 | Offensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 11:51 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | Justin Sourdif |