Michael McCarron vs Mikael Granlund
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McCarron wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 54.0% vs Granlund 49.6% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 80.0%
Defensive zone
McCarron 57.9%
Neutral zone
Granlund 62.1%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
McCarron
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
McCarron
Granlund
Last 7: McCarron 2-5 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
3
McCarron
Granlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
1
McCarron
Granlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
McCarron
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (756)
49.5% (588)
+4.7%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
60.5% (43)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (158)
45.2% (93)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
McCarron shoots right. Granlund is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
McCarron
Granlund
Home
54.6% (445)
54.8% (305)
Away
54.2% (478)
45.8% (419)
By Period
McCarron
Granlund
P1
53.6%
43.8%
P2
55.6%
51.2%
P3
53.7%
53.9%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 11:14 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 06:15 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:33 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |