Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 52.3% vs Gaustad 57.4% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 90.1%
Defensive zone
Granlund 50.3%
Neutral zone
Granlund 68.6%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Granlund
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Granlund
Gaustad
Last 9: Granlund 2-7 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
6
Granlund
Gaustad
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Granlund
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (665)
59.3% (913)
-7.6%
Power Play
60.2% (93)
72.2% (18)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (31)
52.8% (269)
-4.4%
On power play, Gaustad has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Granlund is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (466).
Granlund shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Granlund
Gaustad
Home
54.9% (377)
58.6% (604)
Away
50.5% (412)
57.4% (596)
By Period
Granlund
Gaustad
P1
54.7%
61.5%
P2
50.8%
55.7%
P3
53.4%
56.6%
OT
35.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
52.6%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 3 | 02:25 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 2 | 10:27 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 02:42 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 01:32 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 1 | 08:38 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |