Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 47.6%). Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.4% vs McLeod 47.8% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 62.0%
Defensive zone
McLeod 65.7%
Neutral zone
Granlund 51.4%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Granlund
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Granlund
McLeod
Last 10: Granlund 3-7 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Granlund
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Granlund
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
3
Granlund
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (446)
49.2% (796)
-0.5%
Power Play
56.6% (99)
44.8% (87)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
31.1% (61)
43.3% (263)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Granlund is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Granlund shoots left. McLeod is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Granlund
McLeod
Home
53.3% (255)
49.2% (575)
Away
44.4% (351)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Granlund
McLeod
P1
51.3%
52.8%
P2
48.8%
45.1%
P3
44.4%
45.6%
OT
55.6%
35.7%
Final 5 min
52.0%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.2%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 04:40 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 14:59 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 12:06 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 03:56 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |