Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Smyth on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.5% vs Smyth 45.8% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smyth 61.2%
Defensive zone
Smyth 51.4%
Neutral zone
Smyth 57.8%
Result
Ryan Smyth favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Granlund
Smyth
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Granlund
Smyth
Last 6: Granlund 2-4 Smyth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smyth
0
3
Granlund
Smyth
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
1
Granlund
Smyth
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Smyth
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,628)
45.2% (456)
+3.4%
Power Play
52.1% (728)
51.8% (164)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
43.7% (625)
23.3% (43)
+20.4%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smyth shoots left. Granlund is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,068).
Granlund shoots left. Smyth is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (434).
Home / Away
Granlund
Smyth
Home
51.0% (3,808)
49.7% (340)
Away
46.2% (4,173)
40.5% (326)
By Period
Granlund
Smyth
P1
48.8%
48.3%
P2
48.7%
41.7%
P3
48.2%
46.5%
OT
43.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
56.0%▲
43.0%
48.5%
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2014 | 1 | 15:23 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 1 | 07:06 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 1 | 10:01 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 09:44 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 02:36 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 1 | 08:11 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |