Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Smyth on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 52.3% vs Smyth 50.0% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smyth 60.7%
Defensive zone
Smyth 51.8%
Neutral zone
Smyth 54.0%
Result
Ryan Smyth favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Granlund
Smyth
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Granlund
Smyth
Last 6: Granlund 2-4 Smyth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smyth
0
3
Granlund
Smyth
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
1
Granlund
Smyth
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Smyth
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (665)
49.7% (145)
+2.0%
Power Play
60.2% (93)
58.1% (31)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (31)
16.7% (6)
+31.7%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smyth shoots left. Granlund is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (466).
Granlund shoots left. Smyth is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Granlund
Smyth
Home
54.9% (377)
60.2% (103)
Away
50.5% (412)
36.7% (79)
By Period
Granlund
Smyth
P1
54.7%
51.7%
P2
50.8%
44.6%
P3
53.4%
56.3%
Final 5 min
53.1%
62.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
52.6%
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2014 | 1 | 15:23 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 1 | 07:06 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 1 | 10:01 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 09:44 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 02:36 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 1 | 08:11 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |