Mikael Granlund vs Steven Stamkos
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.4% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 59.6%
Defensive zone
Granlund 72.3%
Neutral zone
Granlund 53.8%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Granlund
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Granlund
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Granlund
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (446)
56.1% (342)
-7.4%
Power Play
56.6% (99)
53.3% (92)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
31.1% (61)
62.5% (8)
-31.4%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +31.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Granlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Granlund shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Granlund
Stamkos
Home
53.3% (255)
53.4% (208)
Away
44.4% (351)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Granlund
Stamkos
P1
51.3%
55.6%
P2
48.8%
52.8%
P3
44.4%
59.1%
OT
55.6%
62.5%
Final 5 min
52.0%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 06:10 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |