Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Granlund wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 51.5% vs Johnson 53.7% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 50.7%
Defensive zone
Granlund 59.6%
Neutral zone
Granlund 56.0%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Granlund
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Granlund
Johnson
Last 8: Granlund 3-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Granlund
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
1
Granlund
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
2
Granlund
Johnson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (401)
55.3% (284)
-1.9%
Power Play
27.8% (18)
50.0% (26)
-22.2%
On power play, Johnson has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Granlund is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Granlund shoots left. Johnson is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Granlund
Johnson
Home
52.1% (236)
57.4% (162)
Away
51.5% (233)
52.0% (148)
By Period
Granlund
Johnson
P1
51.1%
51.5%
P2
52.6%
61.8%
P3
52.0%
47.4%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 01:50 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 18:36 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 16:53 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 17:21 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 17:12 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 01:25 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |