Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Fisher on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 45.0% vs Fisher 53.2% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 75.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 70.8%
Neutral zone
Henrique 77.6%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Henrique
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Henrique
Fisher
Last 8: Henrique 2-6 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
0
3
Henrique
Fisher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Fisher
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
1
2
Henrique
Fisher
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (1,023)
55.2% (948)
-10.7%
Power Play
47.4% (173)
49.7% (173)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (185)
45.7% (129)
-2.5%
On even strength, Fisher has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Henrique is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (501).
Henrique shoots left. Fisher is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Henrique
Fisher
Home
46.9% (680)
53.1% (591)
Away
42.5% (701)
53.7% (659)
By Period
Henrique
Fisher
P1
43.0%
54.3%
P2
46.2%
54.5%
P3
46.2%
51.6%
OT
25.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
46.5%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.7%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 07:23 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 00:07 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 10:05 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 09:28 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |