Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 50.1% vs Fisher 52.1% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fisher 61.3%
Defensive zone
Fisher 74.7%
Neutral zone
Fisher 65.0%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Shaw
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Shaw
Fisher
Last 6: Shaw 4-2 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Fisher
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
1
Shaw
Fisher
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Fisher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (685)
51.7% (845)
-1.5%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
54.3% (210)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
53.2% (94)
+6.8%
On power play, Fisher has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Shaw is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Shaw shoots right. Fisher is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Shaw
Fisher
Home
51.0% (361)
54.4% (572)
Away
49.3% (351)
50.3% (577)
By Period
Shaw
Fisher
P1
48.8%
50.4%
P2
49.5%
52.8%
P3
52.1%
53.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 15:48 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 19:43 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |