Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.1% vs 53.4%). Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 52.3% vs Fisher 53.2% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 51.8%
Defensive zone
Fisher 68.8%
Neutral zone
Fisher 72.7%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Jenner
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Jenner
Fisher
Last 7: Jenner 5-2 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Fisher
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
2
Jenner
Fisher
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (234)
55.2% (948)
-1.4%
Power Play
49.1% (53)
49.7% (173)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
45.7% (129)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Jenner is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Jenner shoots left. Fisher is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Jenner
Fisher
Home
55.1% (127)
53.1% (591)
Away
51.5% (167)
53.7% (659)
By Period
Jenner
Fisher
P1
46.2%
54.3%
P2
51.0%
54.5%
P3
61.2%
51.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.1%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 13:02 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 10:10 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 05:56 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 03:24 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |