Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Fisher on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Wagner wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 45.2% vs Fisher 54.6% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wagner 69.1%
Defensive zone
Wagner 62.4%
Neutral zone
Wagner 67.9%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Wagner
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Wagner
Fisher
Last 9: Wagner 3-6 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
0
Wagner
Fisher
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
1
3
Wagner
Fisher
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
1
3
Wagner
Fisher
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (133)
55.0% (908)
-12.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
59.8% (189)
+40.2%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
49.7% (183)
-14.0%
On power play, Wagner has a +40.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Wagner is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Wagner shoots right. Fisher is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (410).
Home / Away
Wagner
Fisher
Home
36.5% (96)
54.3% (661)
Away
51.9% (52)
55.6% (619)
By Period
Wagner
Fisher
P1
41.3%
50.1%
P2
38.2%
57.7%
P3
46.8%
56.0%
Final 5 min
30.8%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
41.9%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2017 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 3 | 10:22 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 2 | 19:13 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 2 | 15:04 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 2 | 12:12 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 1 | 07:43 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |