Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 51.5%). Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 33 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Fisher 51.5% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 72-65 in 137 meetings
Offensive zone
Fisher 57.9%
Defensive zone
Fisher 51.3%
Neutral zone
Fisher 56.3%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Backes
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
72
-
65
(137 meetings)
72
65
Backes
Fisher
Last 10: Backes 4-6 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
18
17
Backes
Fisher
35 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
21
12
Backes
Fisher
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
33
36
Backes
Fisher
69 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
51.4% (6,100)
-0.3%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
53.8% (1,126)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
48.8% (781)
-1.4%
On power play, Fisher has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Backes shoots right. Fisher is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,492).
Home / Away
Backes
Fisher
Home
50.6% (3,936)
52.4% (4,113)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
50.6% (3,922)
By Period
Backes
Fisher
P1
50.1%
49.6%
P2
51.5%
52.8%
P3
50.8%
52.2%
OT
42.9%
49.6%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 09:32 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 3 | 12:23 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 05:39 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 00:20 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 15:24 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 07:22 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 2 | 07:06 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 03:50 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 3 | 07:05 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 3 | 18:26 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |