Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Fisher on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 51.7% vs Fisher 48.4% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fisher 54.7%
Defensive zone
Fisher 58.6%
Neutral zone
Fisher 56.9%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
MacKenzie
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
MacKenzie
Fisher
Last 9: MacKenzie 3-6 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Fisher
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
1
2
MacKenzie
Fisher
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
1
3
MacKenzie
Fisher
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (384)
47.4% (939)
+4.4%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
52.2% (178)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (61)
47.9% (121)
+4.6%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. MacKenzie is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (150).
MacKenzie shoots left. Fisher is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Fisher
Home
51.7% (232)
50.6% (693)
Away
52.3% (241)
45.4% (553)
By Period
MacKenzie
Fisher
P1
47.9%
48.9%
P2
51.8%
47.2%
P3
55.4%
49.3%
OT
100.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
49.5%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.0%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 18:48 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 14:17 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 18:25 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 01:47 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 01:38 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 2 | 08:42 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 2 | 05:26 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 1 | 10:33 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 09:42 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |