Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Smithson wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 56.8% vs Fisher 48.4% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fisher 53.7%
Defensive zone
Smithson 92.8%
Neutral zone
Smithson 84.5%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Smithson
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Smithson
Fisher
Last 5: Smithson 4-1 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
3
1
Smithson
Fisher
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
1
0
Smithson
Fisher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (778)
47.4% (939)
+12.4%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
52.2% (178)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (198)
47.9% (121)
+1.1%
On even strength, Smithson has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Smithson is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Smithson shoots right. Fisher is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (367).
Home / Away
Smithson
Fisher
Home
59.2% (534)
50.6% (693)
Away
55.5% (472)
45.4% (553)
By Period
Smithson
Fisher
P1
56.1%
48.9%
P2
58.0%
47.2%
P3
58.6%
49.3%
OT
37.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
58.9%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
57.5%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2010 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 3 | 09:57 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |