Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Fisher on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Toews wins 59.8% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.2% vs Fisher 52.1% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Fisher leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Fisher 79.9%
Defensive zone
Fisher 75.3%
Neutral zone
Fisher 74.9%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 76.8%
23.2%
76.8%
Toews
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
14
(20 meetings)
6
14
Toews
Fisher
Last 10: Toews 3-7 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
3
4
Toews
Fisher
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
1
4
Toews
Fisher
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
2
6
Toews
Fisher
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (1,229)
51.7% (845)
+3.2%
Power Play
62.7% (354)
54.3% (210)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (92)
53.2% (94)
+1.1%
On power play, Toews has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Toews is 59.8% vs right-shot opponents (625).
Toews shoots left. Fisher is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
Toews
Fisher
Home
57.6% (838)
54.4% (572)
Away
55.4% (837)
50.3% (577)
By Period
Toews
Fisher
P1
58.0%
50.4%
P2
54.4%
52.8%
P3
56.7%
53.6%
OT
64.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.5%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2014 | OT | 02:56 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 11:10 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 15:59 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 12:06 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 1 | 18:49 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 19:15 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 15:46 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 12:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 19:06 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 13:57 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 11:38 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 03:00 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |