Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 60.1% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.3% vs Fisher 53.2% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fisher 56.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 68.5%
Neutral zone
Fisher 57.5%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Staal
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Staal
Fisher
Last 8: Staal 6-2 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
1
2
Staal
Fisher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Fisher
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Fisher
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,075)
55.2% (948)
+1.4%
Power Play
66.7% (141)
49.7% (173)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (179)
45.7% (129)
+12.4%
On power play, Staal has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Staal is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Staal shoots left. Fisher is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Staal
Fisher
Home
57.7% (735)
53.1% (591)
Away
57.9% (660)
53.7% (659)
By Period
Staal
Fisher
P1
61.8%
54.3%
P2
55.7%
54.5%
P3
56.1%
51.6%
OT
56.8%
55.6%
Final 5 min
60.1%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.8%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 03:38 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 12:44 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 12:35 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 3 | 07:57 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 2 | 15:30 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 1 | 15:22 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |