Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Fisher on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Perreault wins 43.5% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perreault 47.5% vs Fisher 53.2% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perreault 76.1%
Defensive zone
Perreault 59.3%
Neutral zone
Perreault 65.9%
Result
Mathieu Perreault favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Perreault
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Perreault
Fisher
Last 8: Perreault 3-5 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Perreault
Fisher
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
2
3
Perreault
Fisher
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
0
1
Perreault
Fisher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perreault
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (157)
55.2% (948)
-6.2%
Power Play
40.0% (40)
49.7% (173)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
45.7% (129)
-29.0%
On penalty kill, Fisher has a +29.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Perreault is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (92).
Perreault shoots left. Fisher is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Perreault
Fisher
Home
45.2% (93)
53.1% (591)
Away
47.3% (110)
53.7% (659)
By Period
Perreault
Fisher
P1
51.3%
54.3%
P2
50.8%
54.5%
P3
36.7%
51.6%
OT
25.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
51.9%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.3%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 15:13 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 13:02 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 13:37 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 1 | 08:09 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |