Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Fisher on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hendricks wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 54.4% vs Fisher 53.2% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fisher 74.8%
Defensive zone
Fisher 50.8%
Neutral zone
Fisher 63.2%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Hendricks
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Hendricks
Fisher
Last 6: Hendricks 0-6 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
0
3
Hendricks
Fisher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
0
2
Hendricks
Fisher
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
0
1
Hendricks
Fisher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (329)
55.2% (948)
+4.4%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
49.7% (173)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (109)
45.7% (129)
-1.7%
On even strength, Hendricks has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Hendricks is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Hendricks shoots left. Fisher is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Fisher
Home
52.4% (233)
53.1% (591)
Away
58.6% (220)
53.7% (659)
By Period
Hendricks
Fisher
P1
55.1%
54.3%
P2
55.2%
54.5%
P3
55.6%
51.6%
OT
100.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
54.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
55.4%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 11:55 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 16:03 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |