Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Backlund wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 46.1% vs Fisher 48.4% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Fisher 79.2%
Defensive zone
Fisher 56.9%
Neutral zone
Fisher 68.8%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Backlund
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Backlund
Fisher
Last 10: Backlund 7-3 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
1
Backlund
Fisher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
2
Backlund
Fisher
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Fisher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (410)
48.0% (945)
-2.1%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
50.3% (167)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (56)
46.0% (87)
-3.1%
On power play, Fisher has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Backlund is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Backlund shoots left. Fisher is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Backlund
Fisher
Home
49.3% (217)
49.4% (648)
Away
42.3% (279)
47.1% (569)
By Period
Backlund
Fisher
P1
44.0%
48.4%
P2
49.4%
48.3%
P3
42.8%
49.4%
OT
40.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
41.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
45.4%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2012 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 1, 2012 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 1, 2012 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 2 | 04:30 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 3 | 15:45 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 2 | 06:42 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 1 | 06:49 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |