Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Fisher on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Backlund wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Fisher 52.1% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 69.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 87.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 74.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Backlund
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Backlund
Fisher
Last 5: Backlund 0-5 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
0
2
Backlund
Fisher
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
0
3
Backlund
Fisher
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (711)
51.7% (845)
-1.6%
Power Play
43.2% (81)
54.3% (210)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (83)
53.2% (94)
-14.6%
On penalty kill, Fisher has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Backlund is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Backlund shoots left. Fisher is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
Backlund
Fisher
Home
51.0% (396)
54.4% (572)
Away
46.1% (479)
50.3% (577)
By Period
Backlund
Fisher
P1
43.9%
50.4%
P2
51.5%
52.8%
P3
51.0%
53.6%
OT
12.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.3%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2015 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 12:10 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 07:07 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 04:26 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |