Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fisher 52.1% vs MacKinnon 47.5% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 67.7%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 63.9%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 70.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Fisher
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Fisher
MacKinnon
Last 6: Fisher 2-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
2
Fisher
MacKinnon
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
2
Fisher
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fisher
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (845)
45.2% (365)
+6.5%
Power Play
54.3% (210)
57.1% (63)
-2.8%
On even strength, Fisher has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Fisher is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Fisher shoots right. MacKinnon is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
Fisher
MacKinnon
Home
54.4% (572)
48.0% (225)
Away
50.3% (577)
45.8% (203)
By Period
Fisher
MacKinnon
P1
50.4%
41.1%
P2
52.8%
49.6%
P3
53.6%
48.9%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.5%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
52.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 15:05 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 3 | 10:28 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 2 | 01:44 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 1 | 07:09 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 1 | 05:18 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |