Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fisher 53.2% vs MacKinnon 48.6% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 79.7%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 81.2%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 84.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 82.8%
17.2%
82.8%
Fisher
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Fisher
MacKinnon
Last 6: Fisher 0-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Fisher
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Fisher
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
4
Fisher
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fisher
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (948)
48.2% (849)
+7.0%
Power Play
49.7% (173)
51.0% (151)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (129)
44.7% (47)
+1.0%
On even strength, Fisher has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Fisher is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (429).
Fisher shoots right. MacKinnon is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Fisher
MacKinnon
Home
53.1% (591)
51.2% (521)
Away
53.7% (659)
45.6% (526)
By Period
Fisher
MacKinnon
P1
54.3%
49.9%
P2
54.5%
48.0%
P3
51.6%
47.9%
OT
55.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
53.4%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 18:22 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 01:02 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 1 | 15:46 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 2 | 02:45 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 1 | 15:02 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |