Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Fisher wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fisher 53.2% vs Foligno 48.2% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 57.1%
Defensive zone
Fisher 53.6%
Neutral zone
Foligno 50.1%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Fisher
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Fisher
Foligno
Last 8: Fisher 4-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
1
0
Fisher
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
2
1
Fisher
Foligno
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
3
Fisher
Foligno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fisher
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (948)
50.0% (152)
+5.2%
Power Play
49.7% (173)
41.2% (17)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (129)
0.0% (7)
+45.7%
On penalty kill, Fisher has a +45.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Fisher is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Fisher shoots right. Foligno is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Home / Away
Fisher
Foligno
Home
53.1% (591)
48.1% (77)
Away
53.7% (659)
46.5% (99)
By Period
Fisher
Foligno
P1
54.3%
43.1%
P2
54.5%
50.8%
P3
51.6%
48.9%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
53.4%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2015 | 2 | 15:58 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 2 | 15:50 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 2 | 11:13 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 1 | 03:40 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |