Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Fisher on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fisher 51.5% vs Schmaltz 42.5% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fisher 51.7%
Defensive zone
Fisher 88.8%
Neutral zone
Fisher 72.4%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Fisher
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Fisher
Schmaltz
Last 5: Fisher 3-2 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Fisher
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
1
0
Fisher
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
2
1
Fisher
Schmaltz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fisher
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (6,100)
41.2% (3,399)
+10.2%
Power Play
53.8% (1,126)
47.1% (649)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (781)
47.8% (134)
+1.0%
On even strength, Fisher has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Fisher is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,492).
Fisher shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,167).
Home / Away
Fisher
Schmaltz
Home
52.4% (4,113)
42.7% (2,089)
Away
50.6% (3,922)
41.9% (2,093)
By Period
Fisher
Schmaltz
P1
49.6%
41.1%
P2
52.8%
42.9%
P3
52.2%
43.0%
OT
49.6%
42.4%
Final 5 min
50.6%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
51.5%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 06:36 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 3 | 04:25 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 2 | 12:03 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 1 | 09:07 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 1 | 02:39 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |