Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +24.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Fisher on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Fisher wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fisher 54.6% vs Schmaltz 36.0% (+24.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fisher 56.6%
Defensive zone
Fisher 91.2%
Neutral zone
Fisher 82.8%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
Fisher
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Fisher
Schmaltz
Last 5: Fisher 3-2 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Fisher
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
1
0
Fisher
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
2
1
Fisher
Schmaltz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fisher
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (908)
29.6% (253)
+25.4%
Power Play
59.8% (189)
50.0% (18)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (183)
0.0% (1)
+49.7%
On penalty kill, Fisher has a +49.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Fisher is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (410).
Fisher shoots right. Schmaltz is 35.4% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Fisher
Schmaltz
Home
54.3% (661)
33.1% (139)
Away
55.6% (619)
28.6% (133)
By Period
Fisher
Schmaltz
P1
50.1%
28.8%
P2
57.7%
31.7%
P3
56.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
52.8%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
54.9%
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
30.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 06:36 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 3 | 04:25 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 2 | 12:03 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 1 | 09:07 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 1 | 02:39 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |