Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fisher 51.8% vs Backstrom 50.4% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 16-7 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 70.7%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 67.2%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 63.1%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Fisher
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
16
(23 meetings)
7
16
Fisher
Backstrom
Last 10: Fisher 4-6 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
3
7
Fisher
Backstrom
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
5
Fisher
Backstrom
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
3
4
Fisher
Backstrom
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fisher
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (938)
49.0% (1,137)
+2.8%
Power Play
53.9% (115)
59.8% (194)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (93)
48.8% (84)
+2.8%
On power play, Backstrom has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Fisher is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Fisher shoots right. Backstrom is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Fisher
Backstrom
Home
53.1% (604)
52.9% (735)
Away
50.7% (542)
47.8% (680)
By Period
Fisher
Backstrom
P1
48.0%
51.1%
P2
54.8%
47.2%
P3
52.5%
52.9%
OT
61.5%
53.2%
Final 5 min
50.6%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
52.0%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 3 | 14:52 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 3 | 08:34 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 3 | 08:23 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 06:46 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 00:13 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 1 | 18:30 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 1 | 15:16 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 1 | 15:09 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 1 | 11:32 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 1 | 03:31 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 00:35 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 01:28 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |