Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fisher 51.5% vs Hertl 54.1% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 58.3%
Defensive zone
Fisher 53.2%
Neutral zone
Hertl 51.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Fisher
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
12
(23 meetings)
11
12
Fisher
Hertl
Last 10: Fisher 7-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
5
Fisher
Hertl
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
6
5
Fisher
Hertl
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
3
2
Fisher
Hertl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fisher
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (6,100)
53.6% (8,077)
-2.2%
Power Play
53.8% (1,126)
59.7% (1,916)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (781)
46.0% (793)
+2.8%
On power play, Hertl has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Fisher is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,543).
Fisher shoots right. Hertl is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,031).
Home / Away
Fisher
Hertl
Home
52.4% (4,113)
55.6% (5,217)
Away
50.6% (3,922)
52.7% (5,569)
By Period
Fisher
Hertl
P1
49.6%
53.6%
P2
52.8%
53.9%
P3
52.2%
55.1%
OT
49.6%
46.8%
Final 5 min
50.6%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
51.5%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 15:45 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 10:00 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 07:23 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 10:52 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 12:10 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 03:02 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 00:07 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 08:45 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 18:25 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 15:28 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 01:07 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 3 | 18:40 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 28, 2015 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 28, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 28, 2015 | 2 | 17:47 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |