Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Fisher wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fisher 53.2% vs Hertl 54.9% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 51.5%
Defensive zone
Hertl 53.0%
Neutral zone
Hertl 52.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Fisher
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Fisher
Hertl
Last 5: Fisher 1-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Fisher
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Fisher
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
1
0
Fisher
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fisher
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (948)
55.0% (382)
+0.2%
Power Play
49.7% (173)
59.7% (67)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (129)
75.0% (8)
-29.3%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +29.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Fisher is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Fisher shoots right. Hertl is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Fisher
Hertl
Home
53.1% (591)
58.8% (221)
Away
53.7% (659)
53.4% (236)
By Period
Fisher
Hertl
P1
54.3%
52.6%
P2
54.5%
53.6%
P3
51.6%
62.4%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
61.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
53.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2016 | 3 | 18:40 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 28, 2015 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 28, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 28, 2015 | 2 | 17:47 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 28, 2015 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |