Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Fisher on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fisher 51.5% vs Smith 48.7% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fisher 84.4%
Defensive zone
Fisher 61.7%
Neutral zone
Fisher 75.3%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Fisher
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Fisher
Smith
Last 7: Fisher 5-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
1
0
Fisher
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
4
2
Fisher
Smith
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fisher
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (6,100)
49.0% (769)
+2.4%
Power Play
53.8% (1,126)
63.6% (22)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (781)
42.4% (118)
+6.4%
On power play, Smith has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Fisher is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,543).
Fisher shoots right. Smith is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Fisher
Smith
Home
52.4% (4,113)
52.4% (490)
Away
50.6% (3,922)
44.0% (420)
By Period
Fisher
Smith
P1
49.6%
46.9%
P2
52.8%
51.2%
P3
52.2%
47.7%
OT
49.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
51.5%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2013 | 2 | 16:25 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 2 | 00:21 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 14:12 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 04:41 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |