Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Fisher on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Fisher wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fisher 54.6% vs Johnson 51.8% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fisher 71.2%
Defensive zone
Fisher 86.3%
Neutral zone
Fisher 81.8%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Fisher
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Fisher
Johnson
Last 6: Fisher 5-1 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Fisher
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
2
0
Fisher
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
3
0
Fisher
Johnson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fisher
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (908)
51.2% (825)
+3.8%
Power Play
59.8% (189)
56.9% (160)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (183)
51.1% (137)
-1.4%
On even strength, Fisher has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Fisher is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (410).
Fisher shoots right. Johnson is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
Fisher
Johnson
Home
54.3% (661)
56.9% (583)
Away
55.6% (619)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Fisher
Johnson
P1
50.1%
55.1%
P2
57.7%
53.0%
P3
56.0%
48.8%
OT
61.9%
28.6%
Final 5 min
52.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
54.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 14:04 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 1 | 14:32 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 1 | 05:45 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 1 | 01:03 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 13:08 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |