Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fisher 51.8% vs Seguin 42.6% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 75.9%
Defensive zone
Seguin 70.4%
Neutral zone
Seguin 75.6%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 75.7%
24.3%
75.7%
Fisher
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Fisher
Seguin
Last 9: Fisher 3-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Fisher
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
4
Fisher
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fisher
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (938)
41.1% (649)
+10.7%
Power Play
53.9% (115)
54.2% (24)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (93)
25.0% (4)
+26.6%
On penalty kill, Fisher has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Fisher is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Fisher shoots right. Seguin is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Fisher
Seguin
Home
53.1% (604)
44.4% (338)
Away
50.7% (542)
38.6% (339)
By Period
Fisher
Seguin
P1
48.0%
37.8%
P2
54.8%
45.5%
P3
52.5%
41.9%
OT
61.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
52.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2014 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 1 | 17:16 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 09:07 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 1 | 12:03 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 03:42 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 2 | 09:14 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 2 | 00:25 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 04:09 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |