Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fisher 52.1% vs Seguin 53.2% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 52.5%
Defensive zone
Seguin 55.4%
Neutral zone
Seguin 51.0%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Fisher
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Fisher
Seguin
Last 7: Fisher 2-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
1
0
Fisher
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
1
0
Fisher
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
5
Fisher
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fisher
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (845)
53.9% (482)
-2.2%
Power Play
54.3% (210)
35.3% (17)
+19.0%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (94)
75.0% (12)
-21.8%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Fisher is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Fisher shoots right. Seguin is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Fisher
Seguin
Home
54.4% (572)
58.9% (231)
Away
50.3% (577)
49.6% (280)
By Period
Fisher
Seguin
P1
50.4%
51.5%
P2
52.8%
48.5%
P3
53.6%
61.7%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
52.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 10:46 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 05:40 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 8, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 17:50 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |