Scouting Report
Ryan Carter holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Modano 48.9% vs Carter 49.8% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Modano 68.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 56.4%
Neutral zone
Modano 52.5%
Result
Mike Modano favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Modano
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Modano
Carter
Last 6: Modano 2-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Modano
2
1
Modano
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Modano
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Modano
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (266)
50.1% (978)
-2.4%
Power Play
100.0% (5)
60.0% (15)
+40.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
46.4% (138)
-46.4%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +46.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Modano is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Modano shoots left. Carter is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Home / Away
Modano
Carter
Home
51.1% (139)
49.0% (506)
Away
45.9% (135)
50.3% (632)
By Period
Modano
Carter
P1
52.6%
50.5%
P2
42.3%
48.9%
P3
51.9%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.2%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Modano
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.5%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2010 | 3 | 11:17 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Mike Modano |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 2 | 01:55 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 1 | 07:42 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 1 | 03:34 | Offensive | Mike Modano |