Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Modano wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Modano 48.9% vs Kesler 55.9% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Modano 80.6%
Defensive zone
Modano 72.4%
Neutral zone
Modano 78.1%
Result
Mike Modano favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Modano
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Modano
Kesler
Last 6: Modano 1-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Modano
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Modano
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Modano
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Modano
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (266)
56.4% (8,095)
-8.7%
Power Play
100.0% (5)
60.7% (1,437)
+39.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
50.5% (1,908)
-50.5%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +50.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Modano is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Modano shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Modano
Kesler
Home
51.1% (139)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
45.9% (135)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Modano
Kesler
P1
52.6%
56.5%
P2
42.3%
55.9%
P3
51.9%
56.1%
OT
0.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
42.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Modano
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2011 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 23, 2011 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 03:48 | Neutral | Mike Modano |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 18:31 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |